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http://www.kydat.com/copiar/Manual%20Transoft%20Web/ WebApr 22, 2011 · Fitting the ARMA (0,0,1) model in R based on values through 2003, yields a forecast of 2.447325 for 2004 vs. the actual observed value of 2.49. This is a much closer estimate than the naive estimate based soley on the previous value for 2003, which was 2.63. The forecast for 2005 is 2.298228, for which I have no data to verify.
Ckydat.com
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